This market refers to the tennis match between Marin Cilic and Daniil Medvedev in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Cilic” if Marin Cilic wins set 4. It will resolve to “Medvedev” if Daniil Medvedev wins set 4. If the match begins but set 4 is not completed with a winner determined (including the match ending before set 4 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam match statistics.
Key risk: match cancellation/delay
AI updated 6/27/2026, 6:02:20 AM
This market refers to the tennis match between Marin Cilic and Daniil Medvedev in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Cilic” if Marin Cilic wins set 4. It will resolve to “Medvedev” if Daniil Medvedev wins set 4. If the match begins but set 4 is not completed with a winner determined (including the match ending before set 4 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam match statistics.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The prediction market for the Wimbledon ATP match between Marin Čilić and Daniil Medvedev in set 4 is currently balanced at 50%, reflecting equal uncertainty in outcomes. The resolution hinges on the winner of set 4, with a 50-50 fallback if the match does not progress to set 4 or is canceled.
Čilić could win set 4 if he leverages his experience in high-pressure matches and exploits Medvedev's occasional vulnerabilities in baseline rallies. A strong serve performance or tactical adjustments by Čilić could tilt the odds in his favor.
Medvedev may dominate set 4 due to his superior athleticism, defensive skills, and ability to extend rallies, overwhelming Čilić's stamina. Medvedev's recent form and head-to-head record against Čilić could favor his victory in the set.
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Set 4 Winner: Cilic vs Medvedev is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 50% while ORYN AI estimates 50%.
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