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AI & Machine Intelligence

Aggregate AI market probability

Live syncPolymarket · Kalshi · Metaculus · Manifold +185% confidenceMethodology →

Consensus

46%

stable momentum

5277 open forecasts

90-day history

Methodology

This index aggregates average AI-adjusted probabilities across open ORYN forecasts in its category universe. Updated daily. Weekly change reflects 7-day consensus shift.

Full methodology →