Decision lineage

{
  "category": "ai",
  "crowd_probability": 0.5,
  "entry_price": 0.5,
  "slug": "hype-updown-15m-1783069200-polymarket"
}

{
  "crowd_probability": 0.5,
  "partial": false,
  "slug": "hype-updown-15m-1783069200-polymarket"
}

{
  "provenance": {
    "core": {
      "kind": "canonical",
      "note": "markets table",
      "provider": "oryn_db",
      "updated_at": "2026-07-02T18:07:14Z"
    },
    "intelligence.fincept": {
      "kind": "intelligence",
      "note": "edge intelligence API",
      "provider": "fincept",
      "updated_at": "2026-07-02T18:07:14Z"
    },
    "venues": {
      "kind": "exchange",
      "provider": "polymarket",
      "updated_at": "2026-07-02T18:07:14Z"
    }
  }
}

{
  "calibrated_confidence": 100,
  "confidence": 100,
  "expected_value": 45,
  "raw_confidence": 4500,
  "recommendation": "yes",
  "risk": "LOW",
  "why": [
    "Chainlink HYPE/USD data stream accuracy",
    "Hyperliquid trading volume during the window",
    "Broader AI token market sentiment",
    "Speculative activity in micro-markets"
  ]
}

{
  "votes": [
    {
      "confidence": 100,
      "expected_value": 45,
      "risk": "LOW",
      "signal": "hold",
      "strategy_id": "mean_reversion"
    },
    {
      "confidence": 100,
      "expected_value": 45,
      "risk": "LOW",
      "signal": "hold",
      "strategy_id": "liquidity"
    },
    {
      "confidence": 100,
      "expected_value": 45,
      "risk": "LOW",
      "signal": "hold",
      "strategy_id": "fincept_macro"
    },
    {
      "confidence": 100,
      "expected_value": 45,
      "risk": "LOW",
      "signal": "hold",
      "strategy_id": "news_velocity"
    },
    {
      "confidence": 100,
      "expected_value": 45,
      "risk": "LOW",
      "signal": "hold",
      "strategy_id": "sentiment"
    }
  ]
}