Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match cancellation or delay beyond resolution window
AI updated 6/30/2026, 7:46:10 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 50% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
100%
ORYN Consensus
100%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,115,726
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 96-100
—
Resolution
5d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Serena Williams and Maya Joint in the Wimbledon WTA, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 2 equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any tiebreak in set 2 counts as one (1) game toward the total. If set 2 is not completed for any reason (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam results.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Williams vs. Joint Set 2 Games Over/Under 8.5 is overwhelmingly skewed toward 'Over' with a 99.50% probability, indicating near-certainty that the total games in set 2 will meet or exceed 9. This reflects a strong consensus on Serena Williams' dominance in high-stakes tennis, particularly in extended sets.
Serena Williams' historical performance in Grand Slam matches suggests a high likelihood of extended sets, especially against lower-ranked opponents like Maya Joint. Williams' aggressive baseline play and experience in pressure situations increase the probability of a high-game count in set 2, with her ability to extend rallies and force errors driving the total games over 8.5.
Maya Joint's defensive playstyle and potential early match dominance could limit the total games in set 2. If Williams struggles with consistency or Joint capitalizes on early breaks, the set could conclude quickly, resulting in fewer than 9 games. Additionally, external factors like weather delays or Williams' fitness could disrupt the match flow.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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