Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: match_interruptions
AI updated 6/28/2026, 5:31:29 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
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| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
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ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
965,623
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
8d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Angel Veliz and Daniel Nunez in the Quito, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 24. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger statistics.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for the Veliz vs. Nunez tennis match (Over/Under 23.5 games) is currently at a neutral 50% probability, reflecting equal likelihood of the total games meeting or exceeding 24. The resolution hinges on official Challenger statistics, with tiebreak rules simplifying game counting.
A high-scoring match with aggressive baseline play or frequent tiebreaks could push the total games above 23.5. Veliz and Nunez's known playing styles, if both favor extended rallies or serve-and-volley exchanges, increase the probability of an 'Over' outcome.
A match dominated by quick service holds, short points, or early retirements (e.g., due to injury) would likely result in fewer than 24 total games. Weather disruptions or tactical defensive play could also suppress the game count.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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