Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match cancellation due to unforeseen circumstances
AI updated 7/2/2026, 2:00:45 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 38% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
100%
ORYN Consensus
100%
Signal Score
-0.1
Opportunity
0.1
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,656,904
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -15.0¢
Entry: 97-100
—
Resolution
7d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Daniil Glinka and Edward Winter in the Cary, originally scheduled for July 2, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 11. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market overwhelmingly favors the 'Over' outcome (11+ games in the first set) for the Glinka vs. Winter match with a 99.65% probability. This reflects strong consensus on high-scoring potential due to player profiles or surface dynamics.
Glinka and Winter are both aggressive baseline players with high first-serve win percentages and powerful groundstrokes, likely leading to extended rallies and a high total game count. The outdoor hard court in Cary typically produces faster play, increasing the likelihood of breaking serves and extending games.
Either player could dominate with an exceptionally strong serve game, reducing the number of breaks and total games played. External factors like weather delays, injuries, or tactical adjustments favoring a serve-heavy strategy could suppress the game total below 11.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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